What if republicans win




















He's in my view misread the mandate from last year. I don't think the American people voted for all of this," he said. McConnell and Biden have a decades-long relationship including serving in the Senate together and cutting deals during the Obama administration.

But McConnell has repeatedly said that he personally likes Biden while accusing his former colleague of shifting to the left. But there are big differences between the parties," McConnell said.

View the discussion thread. Skip to main content. A must-read political newsletter that breaks news and catches you up on what is happening. Most Popular - Easy to read, daily digest of the news from The Hill and around the world.

The Hill's must read political newsletter that breaks news and catches you up on what happened in the morning and what to look for after lunch. What do we make of that playbook headed into ? Likewise, as the party in charge, what are Democrats planning for?

In fact, a recent study from Yale political scientists Micah English and Josh Kalla found that highlighting the benefits of progressive policies for racial minorities actually decreases support for them overall, and this was especially true for white respondents.

They found that the class framing was most successful in increasing support for policies across racial and political groups. But OK, to wrap.

That is, maybe Republicans have a better chance of making inroads in the House than in the Senate? When back at full strength — there are currently four House vacancies — Democrats will most likely have a to seat edge. If so, Republicans would need to flip at least five seats to gain a majority. The Senate situation is far more uncertain because of the nature of the seats that are up.

Alex Samuels is a politics reporter at FiveThirtyEight. Geoffrey Skelley is an elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight. Nathaniel Rakich is a senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight.

All Videos YouTube. National House vote margin Year Poll Avg. Net seat change for pres. Sorry, your blog cannot share posts by email. Youngkin had distanced himself just enough from former President Donald Trump to win back moderates who had supported Biden only a year ago. In New Jersey, incumbent Democrat Phil Murphy squeaked by Republican challenger Jack Ciattarelli, even though registered Democratic voters outnumber Republicans there by more than 1 million.

The result had been in doubt until the Associated Press called the race for Murphy on Wednesday evening, sparing the Democrats a humiliating defeat. Ciattarelli, 59, a former state lawmaker, had trailed by as much as 10 points in some opinion polls but gained ground by criticizing Murphy's unpopular mask requirements for school children. Both Republican candidates saw strong gains in the suburbs from independent voters who had been turned off by Trump's style of politics.

The results in states that Biden won easily in suggest that Democrats' razor-thin majorities in Congress are highly vulnerable in the elections. If Republicans gain control of both, or even one, chamber of Congress, the party would win the ability to block Biden's legislative agenda in the final two years of his term.

The Democratic loss in Virginia gives Trump an opportunity to portray it as a repudiation of Biden as the Republican sets the stage for another possible presidential run in They have been held up by months of infighting between progressive and moderate Democrats.



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